There has been no shortage of attention paid to who might win the presidential election November last year. The candidates were not short of words to do endless promises throughout their campaigns. But what promises can the newly elected US president deliver once in office. In this article we would examine what the early days of a trump administration would look like. What can we expect from Trump as US president.
Global climate change
The very first thing we would like to look into is of course, global climate change, of which Trump has been a staunch critic. Well, his campaign has been preparing what’s been described as the first day project. This would be an effort to try to do a large number of things right away using the powers of the executive office, powers of the presidency.
The administration is planing on 25 things. For instance, first thing they would probably like to do is to reject the global climate change as an imminent threat. The president has the authority to do that. For example when G.W Bush took the office of the president, he removed the United states from ICC (International Criminal Court) by breaking an agreement. There seems to be nothing that can stop the president from doing a similar thing.
The administration can do certain other things, for instance rolling back some environmental regulations that have been imposed by the Obama administration. And he could also redirect the bureau of alcohol to back on firearms to say you no longer need to deliver background checks on gun purchases the way you are directed to do so under the previous administration.
Republican senate and republican house
Now this depends on the form of which proposal take? the executive order part of this is really interesting. Because what you have heard from republicans in the congress for the last several years is, they have been basically calling Obama the imperial president that he has acted too much on his own without the will of congress to accomplish his agenda. So, president Trump may share a lot of these issues like global climate change and others with the republicans in congress.
Suspending the Syrian refugee program
Trump’s advisers have been signaling that they would suspend the Syrian refugee program on day one. And they can do this under the presidential authority because they can say that refugees from a specific part of the World represent a threat to the American home security. This is the sort of legal basis to suspend the program made under the previous administration.
Immigration laws and the ‘wall’
The president has also been frequently talking about a much broader change in immigration laws. Again, he would also have the legal power to say that we are going to vastly expand and accelerate the pace of deportations.
A wall at the US-Maxico border has been the central promise of the president throughout his election campaign. This may however need some legislative footwork, for instance if it’s estimated to cost 25 billion dollars, you either have to get somebody in the congress to appropriate for you. The most likely thing to happen in this case is, after a long negotiations and agreements, the president will end up with a small extension of the border fence which is already in place since 2006. A senior Trump adviser was quoted saying that the president must do something, at least something regarding the wall to not to loose political credibility.
Trade and trade agreements
President Trump had already renounced and annulled the Trans-Pacific Partners, TPP. Trump may also put some tariffs on certain goods from China. He can do this on day one, he can direct the commerce department to bring the cases out of the WTO (World Trade Organization). What is interesting and hopefully people don’t underestimate this from outside is that if the WTO tells the president that his actions are illegal, he can actually draw the United States out from WTO exactly how G.W Bush drew the country out from the World ballistic missile treaty.
Iran nuclear agreement
Trump has time and again criticized the nuclear agreement between Iran and P5+1 countries as pathetic. His election campaign rhetoric has been to renounce the nuclear deal once he takes office. However, as he neared taking the presidential office, his campaign rhetoric seemed to be changing from renouncing the deal to re-assessing it. Now as he is finally in the Whitehouse, he has invited the Israeli prime minister Benjamin Natanyahu_another strong critic of the nuclear agreement who called the historic deal a historic mistake, to possibly discuss the deal on priority.